When the New Orleans Pelicans take the court against the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday, October 29, 2025, at Ball Arena in Denver, the game’s outcome may hinge less on strategy and more on who’s healthy enough to play. The Pelicans, already reeling from a string of early-season absences, are facing a major blow with Zion Williamson listed as questionable due to a left foot bone contusion — a development that could cripple their offensive engine just as they’re trying to climb out of a 1-4 start.
Who’s Out, Who’s Hanging By a Thread
The New Orleans Pelicans injury report is a nightmare. Kevon Looney, the team’s veteran center, is officially out with a left knee sprain, expected to miss two to three weeks. Dejounte Murray, their primary playmaker and a 7.4-assist-per-game engine, is sidelined with an Achilles injury. That’s two starters gone — and the third, Williamson, is a coin flip.Williamson, who averaged 24.6 points per game last season, practiced on Tuesday but was limited. He told reporters the injury is "nothing major," a phrase that rings hollow when you consider he’s missed 48 games over the past two seasons due to foot and knee issues. The team’s official gameday update confirmed his questionable status, but the uncertainty is palpable. If he plays, it’ll be with a brace, a limp, and a heavy burden on his shoulders.
And it doesn’t stop there. Jordan Poole, their third-leading scorer at 20.5 points per game, is questionable with a knee issue. Yves Missi, the 7-foot rookie, is battling an illness. The Pelicans’ backcourt — already thin — now looks like a patchwork quilt. Jordan Hawkins, who averages just 1.2 assists per game, may be forced into a starting role alongside a rookie guard. That’s not a plan. That’s desperation.
The Nuggets’ Advantage — And Their Own Small Hurdle
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets are rolling. Nikola Jokić is putting up numbers that feel like they’re from a video game: 29.6 points, 12.7 rebounds, 10.2 assists per game. He’s the only player in NBA history to average at least 29-12-10 through 67 games. His presence alone makes Denver a 12.5-point favorite — and rightly so.But it’s not all smooth sailing in Denver. Cameron Johnson, their sharpshooting small forward who averages 18.8 points per game, is questionable with right shoulder inflammation. He’s a key floor-spacer, and his absence would tighten the paint for Jokić. Still, even without Johnson, Denver’s depth is staggering. Jamal Murray, who’s averaging 21.4 points and 6.0 assists, can carry the offense. Michael Porter Jr. and Aaron Gordon are healthy and hungry.
The twist? The Nuggets don’t need Williamson to play. They just need him to be limited. If he’s on the floor, he’s a threat. If he’s not? The Pelicans’ offense collapses into a mess of isolation attempts and contested mid-range jumpers.
Why This Game Matters Beyond the Box Score
This isn’t just about one game. It’s about the Pelicans’ season. After a promising offseason, they’ve been derailed by injuries before the calendar even turned to November. They lost their first four games. Their win on October 27 against the Clippers? That came without Williamson, Murray, or Looney. They won on grit — and luck. Can they keep doing that? Probably not.Meanwhile, Denver is building momentum. They’re 5-1. Jokić is in MVP form. The team’s chemistry is clicking. If they win this game by 20+, it’s not just a statement — it’s a warning. The Western Conference is wide open, and the Nuggets are running with a full head of steam.
And then there’s the human angle. Williamson, just 24, has already been through more injuries than most players face in a decade. His "nothing major" comment is a shield. He’s trying to protect himself — and his future. But the truth? He knows how much this team needs him. He knows the fans are desperate for a reason to believe. He knows the clock is ticking.
What’s Next for Both Teams
If Williamson plays, expect him to be on a minutes restriction — maybe 25-30 minutes max. The Pelicans will lean on Poole (if he plays), Trey Murphy III (21.2 ppg), and Jaxson Hayes to create space. They’ll need a miracle from their bench.If he sits? The Pelicans will likely lose by 25. The spread is too steep. The odds aren’t just against them — they’re stacked like a house of cards.
For Denver, the focus shifts to rest. With a tough stretch coming — home against the Warriors, then a road trip to Phoenix — they’ll need to manage minutes. Jokić won’t play 40 again. But they can afford to be cautious. The Pelicans? They can’t.
Background: A Franchise in Peril
The New Orleans Pelicans have been a team of promise and pain since 2019. After trading Anthony Davis, they bet big on Williamson. He delivered in flashes — 30-point games, dunks that broke the internet, playoff runs. But injuries have stolen his prime before it even began. In 2023, he missed 58 games. In 2024, 41. Now, in 2025, he’s already missed three of the first five.The organization, owned by Gayle Benson, has spent heavily on talent — Murray, Poole, Murphy — but the foundation is crumbling. They need a healthy Williamson to make sense of their roster. Without him? They’re just another lottery team with a big name.
Denver, by contrast, is built to last. Owned by Ann Walton Kroenke, the Nuggets have stability — coaching continuity, medical staff, and a culture built around Jokić’s genius. They don’t need miracles. They just need to show up.
Frequently Asked Questions
How does Zion Williamson’s potential absence affect the Pelicans’ chances of covering the 12.5-point spread?
Without Williamson, the Pelicans’ offensive output drops by nearly 25 points per game — his 24.6 ppg is second only to Trey Murphy III. Even with Jordan Poole, they lack the interior scoring and physicality to compete with Denver’s frontcourt. Covering a 12.5-point spread without their best player is statistically near-impossible — they’d need a 40-point game from someone like Jordan Hawkins, which hasn’t happened in his career.
What’s the significance of Nikola Jokić’s stats this season?
Jokić is averaging 29.6 points, 12.7 rebounds, and 10.2 assists — the first player ever to hit those marks through 67 games. He’s essentially playing like a triple-double machine every night. His presence forces defenses to collapse, creating open looks for teammates. If he plays 35 minutes, Denver wins. Period. He’s not just the best player in this game — he’s the reason Denver is favored by 12.5 points.
Why is the Pelicans’ backcourt such a concern?
With both Dejounte Murray (7.4 apg) and Jordan Poole potentially out, the Pelicans are left with Jordan Hawkins (1.2 apg) and rookie Jose Alvarado as their primary ball-handlers. Hawkins has never averaged more than 1.5 assists per game. That’s a massive drop in playmaking efficiency. Denver’s defense will exploit this, clogging driving lanes and forcing tough, contested shots.
How has the Pelicans’ injury crisis impacted their season so far?
The Pelicans are 1-4 to start the 2025-2026 season, with all four losses coming by double digits. They’ve lost their top three scorers — Williamson, Murray, and Poole — for at least two games each. Their net rating is -8.9, worst in the Western Conference. Without Williamson, they’re not just underperforming — they’re structurally broken. Their playoff hopes are fading before November.
Could Cameron Johnson’s injury change the game for the Nuggets?
Johnson’s 18.8 points per game and 42% three-point shooting stretch the floor for Jokić. If he sits, Denver’s offense becomes more predictable — Jokić has to do more, and defenders can sag into the paint. But even without Johnson, Denver’s bench has depth: Bones Hyland and Facundo Campazzo can create offense. It’s a setback, not a crisis.
What’s the long-term outlook for the Pelicans if Williamson keeps getting injured?
If Williamson misses 40+ games again this season, the Pelicans will likely be sellers at the trade deadline. They’ve invested heavily in supporting talent — Murray, Poole, Murphy — but without their franchise player, those pieces don’t fit. The organization may pivot to rebuilding, targeting draft picks and young guards. Williamson’s health isn’t just a game-day concern — it’s the future of the franchise.